Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.329398 0.439728 0.561265 0.702863 0.861321 1.031471 1.226375
2025-04-13 0.193837 0.339631 0.519992 0.748370 1.020830 1.328235 1.694813
2025-04-20 0.130298 0.288299 0.502011 0.787900 1.142148 1.552792 2.052709
2025-04-27 0.090119 0.254599 0.496698 0.835805 1.268551 1.780302 2.412532
2025-05-04 0.070047 0.243806 0.516912 0.911991 1.426091 2.041848 2.809563
2025-05-11 0.048540 0.221844 0.516187 0.957027 1.542264 2.252185 3.145251
2025-05-18 0.027346 0.188955 0.492921 0.967139 1.610896 2.402607 3.408052
2025-05-25 0.007444 0.136920 0.428855 0.913085 1.591304 2.440989 3.533603
2025-06-01 0.000145 0.093244 0.367247 0.854859 1.560654 2.461506 3.634138
2025-06-08 NaN 0.067700 0.331646 0.830885 1.572682 2.533058 3.794598
2025-06-15 NaN 0.056688 0.323508 0.848487 1.641038 2.675776 4.042196
2025-06-22 NaN 0.042257 0.302339 0.842418 1.674684 2.772830 4.232531
2025-06-29 NaN 0.026931 0.272806 0.822319 1.691369 2.852986 4.409293
2025-07-06 NaN 0.024118 0.279870 0.866443 1.802126 3.058073 4.745025
2025-07-13 NaN 0.021733 0.287233 0.910589 1.912500 3.262267 5.079205
2025-07-20 NaN 0.020537 0.298490 0.961815 2.033473 3.480767 5.431856
2025-07-27 NaN 0.023475 0.326386 1.043849 2.200235 3.760190 5.861740
2025-08-03 NaN 0.021921 0.335987 1.092133 2.317114 3.973638 6.208527
2025-08-10 NaN 0.016228 0.325807 1.102982 2.378072 4.112680 6.461194
2025-08-17 NaN 0.006157 0.281224 1.044997 2.333949 4.110263 6.533491
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000857 0.237499 0.982416 2.279304 4.091305 6.582777
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.213685 0.956607 2.278880 4.143843 6.721794
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.211016 0.975558 2.348307 4.291592 6.983331